AGEBOC ’10 – June 4-6

Standard

Predict the #1 film for the weekend of June 4-6 2010.

The one who predicts closest to the total Friday to Sunday gross for the #1 film wins 4 points. Runner-up gains 2 points. Predicting within half a million earns 2 extra points.

Bonus questions:

1) What film be the second highest earner this weekend?

2) What film be the third highest earner this weekend?

Deadline is Thursday, June 3 11:59 pm (blog time).

To find out the rules of the game, go to the main thread for AGEBOC 09.

AGEBOC 09 score

cartoon_crown1_9cs9 Brian: 12.5

James: 7.5
Filmman: 6.5
Jackrabbit Slim: 5
Rob: 5
Jeanine: 3
Joe Webb: 3
Nick: 2.5
Marco Trevisiol: 1.5
Juan: 1

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32 responses »

  1. I think that in the future I’ll just try and post this on Tuesday mornings, instead of waiting for the actuals to come in.

  2. You know about “Bombshell” McGee rumours but have no idea what “Killers” is? Didn’t you coin the Ashton Kutcher trilogy a while back? This is part 4!!!

  3. Is this like the Indiana Jones trilogy, where everyone’s pretty happy with the trilogy as it is, but they come along and fuck it up with a fourth one anyway? I mean, you know, except for the everybody being happy with it part.

  4. Maybe it’s more of a general question regarding its nature, i.e. “What the hell is it?”

    Which is a valid question.

  5. Shrek 4 – $24.42 million

    1) Killers

    2) Marmaduke

    I saw Get Him To the Greek and while it tries too hard to manipulate emotions it’s still a damn funny movie. Deserves to do better than all of these flicks above.

  6. Didn’t you coin the Ashton Kutcher trilogy a while back? This is part 4!!!

    My God, I just read the synopsis. I may have to create an updated post exploring the possible ramifications of this film.

  7. Splice – $31 million
    1. Shrek
    2. Get Him to the Greek

    I don’t have the slightest idea what’s going on this weekend. I feel like my powers of progostication have left me.

  8. Splice isn’t a bad choice, Brian. Something tells me it could break out….or it could open to 4 million dollars total.

  9. So we’re back with a wider spectrum of guesses than we’ve probably ever had. Now all we need is for Prince of Persia to turn out to be a word of mouth hit. Someone with a pretty good track record is actually predicting that Marmaduke will have a single digit opening, so that makes things a little exciting.

    I’ll be off into the woods this weekend, so I might not be reachable until some time later on Sunday.

    Joe Webb: Shrek 4 – $30m
    1. Get Him to the Greek
    2. Marmaduke

    Marco Trevisiol: Shrek 4 – $29 mil
    1. Marmaduke
    2. Killers

    James: Shrek 4 – 27m
    1. Marmaduke
    2. Get Him to the Greek

    Rob: Shrek 4 – $24.42 million
    1) Killers
    2) Marmaduke

    Juan: Marmaduke – $33 million
    1. Shrek 4
    2. Killers

    Jeanine: Marmaduke – $27.49
    1. Shrek
    2. Get Him to the Greek

    Jackrabbit Slim: Marmaduke – 26.5 million
    1. Shrek 4
    2. Killers

    Nick: Marmaduke – 24 million
    1. Shrek 4
    2. Get Him to the Greek

    filmman: Get Him to the Greek – 25 million
    1. Marmaduke
    2. Killers

    Brian: Splice – $31 million
    1. Shrek
    2. Get Him to the Greek

  10. That low Marmaduke opening sounds about right to me. But I’m also the only one who doesn’t have it in my top 3, so my week sort of counts on it.

  11. These results just verify my belief stated last week of the snowball effect occurring with slumping bo returns, especially with less people seeing trailers for upcoming films. And there haven’t been terribly many films recently that could just sell themselves.

    I note in Nick’s link how the journo mentioned surprise at the relatively modest bo for ‘Get Him to the Greek’ because of all the “buzz” it has been getting. Hasn’t this been the same situation for virtually every film Judd Apatow has been associated with recently? There’s this widely-held perception that he has this golden touch and anything he’s a producer on will be a breakout hit but in truth, his record since ‘Walk Hard’ has been pretty ordinary.

  12. I finally remember to put a guess in and I pick Marmaduke. Beverly Hills Chihuahua it is not. WTF, George Lopez? You deserve 12pm, asshole.

  13. These results just verify my belief stated last week of the snowball effect occurring with slumping bo returns, especially with less people seeing trailers for upcoming films. And there haven’t been terribly many films recently that could just sell themselves.

    Agree that something is definitely going on out there. What do you mean by “less people seeing trailers for upcoming films”?

  14. The Hollywood Reporter is estimating Shrek with 25.3 million, so it’s real tight between James and Rob, and could be bonus points involved. I’ll only salvage half a point for getting Killers right at third.

  15. The Summer box office is a disaster so far. Good god. The A-Team will do alright, but it won’t save things. We’ll have to wait for Toy Story 3 for that. Then Twilight 3. Then Joe Pesci in Love Ranch.

  16. Bad box office is a good thing, in my eyes. I have the naive hope that it will encourage studios to actually try to make good movies, rather than throw out the same old shit.

  17. Might it not make the studios use it as an excuse to kill the multiplex and move to smaller, multi-platform releases?

  18. The actuals are out.

    1. Shrek Forever After – $25,486,465
    2. Get Him to the Greek – $17,570,955
    3. Killers – $15,837,266

    As you can see below Rob wins this one and now sits precariously close to Brian’s once lofty height. Well done, dude.

    James is runner-up and he also has slowly but surely been climbing up towards Brian’s perch at the top.

    Joe Webb: Shrek 4 – $30m
    1. Get Him to the Greek +0.5
    2. Marmaduke

    Marco Trevisiol: Shrek 4 – $29 mil
    1. Marmaduke
    2. Killers +0.5

    James: Shrek 4 – 27m +2
    1. Marmaduke
    2. Get Him to the Greek

    Rob: Shrek 4 – $24.42 million +4
    1) Killers
    2) Marmaduke

    Juan: Marmaduke – $33 million
    1. Shrek 4
    2. Killers +0.5

    Jeanine: Marmaduke – $27.49
    1. Shrek
    2. Get Him to the Greek

    Jackrabbit Slim: Marmaduke – 26.5 million
    1. Shrek 4
    2. Killers +0.5

    Nick: Marmaduke – 24 million
    1. Shrek 4
    2. Get Him to the Greek

    filmman: Get Him to the Greek – 25 million
    1. Marmaduke
    2. Killers +0.5

    Brian: Splice – $31 million
    1. Shrek
    2. Get Him to the Greek

  19. Agree that something is definitely going on out there. What do you mean by “less people seeing trailers for upcoming films”?

    I just meant that if people aren’t going to the cinemas as much, then invariably the trailers that are shown before the films aren’t going to be seen as widely, hence the snowball effect.

    I suppose it could be easily countered that people can see trailers very easily these days, but I still think it’s a factor. For example, I would’ve never have known of that new Cruise/Diaz movie if I hadn’t seen a trailer for it before ‘Prince of Persia’.

  20. I wrote in last week’s AGEBOC thread that I think 3D and how it was abused by studios in films like ‘Clash of the Titans’ was a big factor in the audience alienation.

    But 3D could be an even more negative factor than just that. I was reading on the weekend how – in terms of family films at least – how films without 3D could be considered ‘old hat’ by kids. And this could lead to a vicious circle situation where audiences are dissatisfied with the extra costs of 3D films unless they have Avataresque effects but also think that non-3D films aren’t really worth going to the cinema to see and might as well wait till DVD.

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