AGEBOC ’11 – May 27-29


Predict the #1 film for the weekend of May 27-29 2011.

The one who predicts closest to the total Friday to Sunday gross for the #1 film wins 4 points. Runner-up gains 2 points. Predicting within half a million earns 2 extra points.

Bonus questions:

1. Will Kung Fu Panda 2 or Hangover 2 earn the most on Saturday May 28?

2. Will Tree of Life have a per theater average of more or less than $100,000?

Deadline is Wednesday, May 25 11:59 pm (blog time).

To find out the rules of the game, go to the main thread for AGEBOC 09.

Current rankings:

Juan 8
Jeanine 6
Joe Webb 5.5
Jackrabbit Slim 5.5
Brian 5
Filmman 4
Marco Trevisiol 3.5
Rob Hunter 1.5
Nick 1.5
James 1


32 responses »

  1. Remember that the deadline is on Wednesday, since Hangover and Panda are released on Thursday in the States.

  2. So, I’m confused. The movies open on Thursday, and it’s a 3-day weekend (Memorial Day). So we are only predicting Fri-Sun? or Thur-Mon?

    And I heard rumors on the news this morning that The Hangover 2 might not open due to a lawsuit regarding the copyright of the Mike Tyson tattoo. Of course, the ONLY time I’ve ever known movies to be delayed last minute like that was “Killing Mrs. Tingle” (right after Columbine which was later refilmed and renamed to “Teaching Mrs. Tingle”) and Collateral Damage (right after 9/11). Anyway, WB will probably give the tattoo artist money even if it’s just for all the free publicity.

    Anywho…going off the 3 day numbers:
    The Hangover 2: $76 mil
    1. Hangover
    2. what the hell, I’ll say slightly more – even though it will probably end up being $99,856 or something.

  3. Nick’s call, I guess, but I we’ve rigidly enforced the deadline before, and I see no reason to change now.

  4. It’s a small matter. I have so many more problems that this doesn’t even register. Stay true to the rules.

  5. Holy crap – Hangover 2 made nearly $32 million on Thursday. Biggest opening day for a live-action comedy ever. The first made $45 million over the whole weekend.

  6. Even with an $80 million budget, which frankly seems ridiculous, this is guaranteed to be a big hit – even if it collapses next weekend and has no legs.

  7. And even with an EXTREMELY generous weekend multiplier, Kung Fu Panda 2 is fucked domestically. I assume international revenue will save it’s ass. Heck, international revenue led Ice Age 3 to $886 million worldwide. Panda probably won’t be that lucky, but it should do fine.

  8. Yeah, I was actually thinking that Panda’s opening was decent but it’s not even going to come close to the original’s gross while costing 20M more.

    I’m sure they’ll do another, but they’ve got to figure out a way to cut costs. Despicable Me made as much as the original Kung Fu Panda and close less than half to make.

  9. What’s up with that, by the way? I thought KFP was a popular show – I’m surprised that the sequel didn’t turn out.

  10. The parents were all out seeing Hangover II.

    Yeah – Despicable Me should be what all CG animated flicks should aspire to. Budget – $69 million, worldwide gross – over half a billion. Megamind cost nearly double and made $200 million less. The original Cars – made 4 years before – cost nearly double and made about $100 million less. In fact – every single Pixar movie since the original Toy Story cost a good deal more than Despicable me. Every Shrek since the first cost a LOT more.

  11. Man…I can’t express how bad Hangover 2 is. POTC and now this. These movies are truly…BAD.

  12. I admit that Hangover Part II made me laugh. There are some funny moments in there. But it is an exact dupe of the original movie – to an even larger extent than I expected. And there are parts that are truly disturbing – as I’m sure filmman will attest to. There things I simply didn’t need to see/imagine that I can never unsee/unimagine. Actually – I think I had a bigger problem with those moments than the fact that the film apes the original to such an extreme extent.

  13. 1. The Hangover Part II – $85,946,294
    2. Kung Fu Panda 2 – $47,656,302
    15. The Tree of Life – $372,920 total – 4 theaters – $93,230 average

    Nick: Kung Fu Panda 2 – 88 million
    1. Kung Fu Panda 2
    2. More

    Brian: Kung Fu Panda 2 – $82 million
    1. KFP2
    2. Less +0.5

    James: Hangover 2 – 100 million
    1. Hangover 2 +0.5
    2. Less +0.5

    Marco Trevisiol: Hangover 2 – $98m
    1. Hangover 2 +0.5
    2. Less +0.5

    Jackrabbit Slim: Hangover 2: 80 Mil +4
    1. Hangover 2 +0.5
    2. Less +0.5

    Jeanine: The Hangover 2 – $76 mil +2
    1. Hangover +0.5
    2. what the hell, I’ll say slightly more – even though it will probably end up being $99,856 or something.

    filmman: Hangover 2 – 75 million
    1. Hangover 2 +0.5
    2. Less +0.5

    Rob Hunter: Hangover Part II – $72.51 million
    1) Kung Fu Panda 2
    2) Less +0.5

    Juan (past the deadline, sorry)
    Hangover 2 – $82.4 million
    1. Hangover 2
    2. Less

  14. Re: the perceived underperformance of KFP2, perhaps it’s because the plethora of children’s animated films that have come out in recent years.

    I could be wrong on this, but even as recently as 15-20 years ago there would only be a handful of children’s animated films released per year that got wide release. These days, it seems that one is released every couple of weeks. Eventually a saturation point is reached and perhaps KFP2 is a victim of that.

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