AGEBOC ’11 – June 17-19


Predict the #1 film for the weekend of June 17-19 2011.

The one who predicts closest to the total Friday to Sunday gross for the #1 film wins 4 points. Runner-up gains 2 points. Predicting within half a million earns 2 extra points.

Bonus questions:

1. Will Mr Poppers Penguins earn more or less than $25 million?

2. Will Super 8 earn more or less than $18 million this weekend?

Deadline is Thursday, June 16 11:59 pm (blog time).

To find out the rules of the game, go to the main thread for AGEBOC 09.

Current rankings:

Filmman 12.5
Jeanine 12.5
Jackrabbit Slim 12
Juan 10
Joe Webb 9
Nick 7
Brian 7
Marco Trevisiol 6
Rob Hunter 3
James 2


55 responses »

  1. I’d like to win this one.

    I don’t blame you. As badly as I’ve sucked lately, you’ve been far worse.

  2. Green Lantern – $60.3 million

    1. Less
    2. Less

    It’s weird – I guess I just don’t watch shows that Mr. Popper’s Penguins would advertise during, cause I haven’t seen one ad. I saw the trailer online and then when I saw X-Men: First Class, but not one commercial.

  3. I’ve seen plenty of commercials for Mr. Popper, enough to know that I’d rather slit my wrists than see it. The worst part is when he’s dancing with the penguins and they all do the cross-armed rap pose, and Carrey says “Word.” Ugh.

  4. I think the Jim Carrey of the mid to late 90’s would vomit with rage if you told him what he’d be doing a decade later.

  5. Yeah, when has Jim Carrey ever done sophisticated comedy? Aside from The Truman Show, he’s pretty much always gone for the lowest common denominator.

  6. Okay, I’m kinda confused about what you guys are missing in Juan’s comment. All those earlier movies were GOOD. These later movies, I think consensus can agree, are not.

  7. Okay, maybe I should say ‘competent and funny’, as good is a subjective term.

  8. Were any of his comedies after Dumb and Dumber good? Liar Liar set a template – obvious, formulaic, sentimental, overly corporatized – that he trapped himself in for the most part after that. The manic physical comedian from his earlier movies was mostly gone, and that was in 1997.

    Still, I do sort of see Juan’s point. This penguin thing seems more on Sandler’s level than Carrey’s.

  9. Carrey’s film career progression reminds me a bit of Eddie Murphy’s – early films generally raucous comedies; loved by some but considered by others to be crude and in bad taste. As the years roll by their comedies veer towards the more conventional and often aimed at kids.

    Having said that at least Carrey has done some interesting dramatic work in-between the bland comedies and family films – with one or two exceptions theres been virtually nothing of interest from Murphy since the late 1980s.

  10. Nowadays Carrey does lame crap for kids. I think that would run contrary to the tastes of 90’s Carrey who did bawdy comedies that barely skated by with PG-13 ratings and started shuffling in well thought of dramas. That’s what I’m saying.

  11. Ye of little faith.
    Fanboys and those starved for a movie when nothing opened last week will push this past 65…
    Young dudes will go and young women will go for Ryan Reynolds.
    I will rule this contest…muwahahahahahahahaha-
    Oh, wait, where’s Jeanine’s guess-?

  12. Just back on Carrey, coincidentally I flicked on the TV and they were showing ‘Bruce Almighty’ which I hadn’t seen in the years.

    Can’t deny that it’s slickly done and somewhat amusing… but there was always something dislikable about it all. I think Brian’s description of corportazied is most apt.

    The funniest thing about the film was seeing the entirely insignificant character that Steve Carrell played and think they based the very expensive sequel around him!

  13. and young women will go for Ryan Reynolds.

    I don’t know if I can call myself a “young woman” anymore, but I don’t think Ryan Reynolds is hot enough to go see a movie just because he’s in it. Hell, I never saw Prince of Persia just because Jake was in it, even though I thought about it for 5 seconds (and I even like the video games).

    I’ve been pretty swamped this week. I haven’t had time to look at the National Weather forecast, graduation schedules, high profile events, and comps that I normally research before every guess.

    Just kidding.

    Green Lantern: $70
    1. Less
    2. More

  14. Ssshhh, quiet, Mister Seven Points.

    If I were Jim Carrey fifteen years ago, I’d be happy as hell to know that I still star in 100 million plus movies.

  15. I used to consult weather forecasts and everything else I mentioned as a job-related hobby several years ago. At the end of the day, it’s still just a guess.

  16. I’d like to make a change too. I’m holding on to the my $60.3 million guess for GL, but I want to go More for both bonus questions.

  17. The temptation to lower my GL guess is strong, but I’m on such a roll with my guesses so far I’m hesitant to mess with it.

  18. Dumb and Dumber is one of the funniest films of all time and the Ace Ventura films always make for a good watch.

    And you must be the Monopoly guy.

  19. Agree on Dumb and Dumber – I haven’t seen a funnier film made in the 1990s than that. The first Ace Ventura film was erratic but had some great stuff in it. Didn’t care for The Mask all that much – actually that seemed closer in content to his modern day comedies.

  20. You know, thinking about it now, I’m not sure I ever saw the first Ace Ventura movie. I know I saw the second one, although the only thing I remember is the mechanical rhino.

    You know what Dumb and Dumber‘s secret weapon is? The ending is perfect. It’s not the best gag in the movie, or even top 5, but the movie nails it. A movie’s ending is the most underrated aspect of a movie’s appeal, especially in terms of rewatchability – with something like this, it’s the difference between being remembered as a good movie and just something that has its moments.

  21. Just talking about Carrey’s career made me realise how many of his films (The Mask, Dumb and Dumber, Batman Forever, Bruce Almighty) have been followed by sequels that have been notoriously bad from a financial and/or artistic viewpoint.

    Also, while it has a pretty bad reputation I liked Carrey’s version of ‘Fun with Dick and Jane’. Actually, I thought it was marginally better than the original.

  22. I’ve been a fan since Once Bitten (when he starred on In Living Color I said “That’s the guy from Once Bitten!”) and I still like Carrey very much (Mr. Popper’s Penguins notwithstanding) so I don’t think his career over the last decade has been as terrible as most are making it out to be.

    By the time Ace 2 rolled around critics were already taking him to task for being basically a “one-trick pony” even though that trick involved more physical/facial comedic obliviousness than anyone else was able to pull off at that time. So while the transitional Cable Guy flopped, Truman and Man in the Moon were critical revelations but the latter was not what “the public” turned out in droves to see.

    My personal opinion is that after that little foray into “the serious” he proved to himself that he could do it but it wasn’t as financially rewarding, so he alternated/intermingled the ridiculous with the sublime. You can track the B.O. like clockwork: if he’s over-the-top then the biz is as well; if he’s subdued then so are the revenues. The fact that he can succeed in different ways in multiple genres is a testament to his talent.

    I’m not saying he’s the greatest actor or is on the level of the Tom Hanks sitcom-comedy-to-oscar-winner turnaround, but he’s certainly not a dud.

    Dumb and Dumber is one of my all-time favorite comedies, and it wouldn’t have been Summer 1994 if everyone wasn’t saying “Alllllrighty then” after everything. Perhaps I’m the only one who saw and liked The Majestic but it’s not something I’m ashamed of. And Eternal Sunshine is simply amazing and could be one of the most cerebrally-romantic movies in recent memory.

    I haven’t seen everything from him, but I haven’t seen him phone-in a performance yet. Not even on talk shows

  23. I agree with pretty much all that assessment Joe. In the space of half a dozen years he was in ‘The Truman Show’, ‘Man on the Moon’ and ‘Eternal…’ – a lot of acclaimed dramatic actors have never had such a good run of work.

    But I’d wish he try for more interesting material when he’s in full comedy mode. ‘Yes Man’ felt like it was spat out of the same computer that produced ‘Liar..’ and ‘Bruce..’, and just a waste of his comic or even dramatic talents.

  24. I don’t really disagree with Joe either, at least in broad terms. I have no questions of Carrey’s talents or abilities, it’s just that he got away from the traits (i.e., physical comedy, general silliness) that made him unique pretty early on, in favor of more homogenous, bland projects.

    But I’m not including his dramatic work in that critique (although I thought The Majestic was bad).

    Also – his SNL appearance from a few months back, which was very funny, is being replayed this weekend.

  25. I think he’s still doing physical comedy and general silliness. Including his voicework (can it be called physical? Throat-al?) his last handful of comedic roles still relied on physical and/or facial gags for laughs. I don’t think scenes like these would be all that out-of-place in one of his 90’s comedies:

    It just seems like Ace Ventura with a normal hairdo and a suit. This is not to say “Yes Man” overall is hilarious or constantly witty. He’s still doing “Jim Carrey” and I think an Ace3 with him in it would make a hundo in a weekend, but just doing “Jim Carrey” is not enough anymore.

  26. I think he partly phoned it in in Bruce Almighty. He was well aware of what worked and just just went for the obvious. And it he couldn’t sell crap like “It’s good. It’s GOOOOOD.”

  27. You know, I forgot about Man in the Moon and Eternal Sunshine. He was great in those (although Kate Winslet stole Eternal Sunshine). I’m just not a fan of his goofy physical comedy.

  28. Rob, Juan and Jeanine (which sounds like some 70’s folk band) are looking good with Green Lantern estimated on Deadline at 58 million. Bonuses seem to be landing at 1. Less and 2. More. So at least I gets the bonuses.

  29. We’re a children’s band. We sing about brushing teeth and tying shoes and bunnies.

  30. I still tie my shoes like a child, bunny-ear style so I’m probably not the best person to sing about that. I brush my teeth, but don’t think I could sing while brushing them.

  31. So you’re saying you’re leaving the band to become a solo artist?

    I still do it bunny-ear style too. That sounds like a gross sex act. Anyway – could never wrap my mind around the proper way to do it as a lad. I most wear stylish slip on shoes these days – more comfortable.

  32. At least there’s the bonus

    1 Green Lantern $53,174,303 Carstens wonder twins
    2 Super 8 $21,472,020 MORE
    3 Mr. Poppers’s Penguins $18,445,355 LESS

  33. Darn, missed the bonus by under a million.

    Oh well. At least I got a five-pointer to get myself back into this game.

  34. I have never felt more naive in my life. There’s a ‘proper’ way to tie your shoes and it’s *not* the way I’ve always known?

  35. filmman: Green Lantern: 65.3 million
    1. Less +0,5
    2. Less

    Juan: Green Lantern – $60.3 million
    1. Less +0,5
    2. Less

    Rob: GREEN LANTERN – $57.75 million
    1) Less +0,5
    2) Less

    Jeanine: Green Lantern – $55.555 +2
    1. Less +0,5
    2. More +0,5

    Brian: Green Lantern – $52 million +4
    1. Less +0,5
    2. More +0,5

    Jackrabbit Slim: Green Lantern – 50 mil
    1. Less +0,5
    2. More +0,5

    Marco Trevisiol: Green Lantern – $45 million
    1. More
    2. More +0,5

    Joe Webb: Green Lantern: Freshman Year – $44.444m
    1. Less +0,5
    2. More +0,5

    Nick: Green Lantern – 42 million
    1. Less +0,5
    2. More +0,5

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