HAGEBOC ’11, Week 4

Standard

Predict the #1 film for the weekend of December 9-11, 2011. The one who predicts closest to the total Friday to Sunday gross for the #1 film wins 4 points. Runner-up gains 2 points. Predicting within half a million earns 2 extra points. Bonus questions are worth half a point each.

Bonus questions:

1. Will Twilight: Breaking Dawn and The Sitter combine to make over $25 million?

2. Will Young Adult average over $50,000 per screen?

The deadline is on Thursday at midnight, EST.

Standings:

Jeanine: 8.5
James: 5.5
Filmman: 5
Nick: 3.5
Joe: 2,5
Juan: 1
Rob: 1
Jackrabbit Slim: 1
Marco: .5

About Jackrabbit Slim

Location: Vegas, Baby! I’m much older than the other whippersnappers here, a baby boomer. I tend to be more snobbish about film, disdaining a lot of the multiplex fare for “cinema.” My favorite films: Woody Allen’s oeuvre (up until about 1990), The Godfather, The Graduate, A Hard Day’s Night, Pulp Fiction. Politics: Well, George McGovern was my political hero. I’m also a prickly atheist. Occupation: Poised to be an English teacher in Las Vegas. For many years I was an editor at Penthouse Magazine. My role on this blog seems to be writing lots of reviews and being the resident Oscar maven.

31 responses »

  1. New Year’s Eve – $34 million (my math gave me Jeanine’s exact guess, so I’ll take the under)

    1. No
    2. No

    Pretty dire at the Box Office these days.

  2. BTW – I will be quite happy to lose this weekend if it means NYE bombs. That would be great, though it tickles me to see Til Schweiger listed alongside all those annoying stars.

  3. Closing bell!

    filmman

    New Year’s Eve: 39.6 million

    1. Yes
    2. I don’t know

    Rob

    New Year’s Eve! $39.1 million

    1) Yes
    2) Yes

    Jeanine

    New Year’s Eve – $35 million
    1. No
    2. No

    Juan

    New Year’s Eve – $34 million (my math gave me Jeanine’s exact guess, so I’ll take the under)

    1. No
    2. No

    Marco Trevisiol

    New Year’s Eve $30.2m
    1. No
    2. No

    Nick

    New Year’s Eve – 27 million
    1. No
    2. No

    Jackrabbit Slim

    New Year’s Eve: 22.5 million

    1. No
    2. No

    James

    NYE – 19m
    YES
    YES

  4. Sometimes my faith in humanity is restored. Well done, movie audiences of America.

    Truthfully though: at least 50% of this was release date. Why open a film centered around New Year’s Eve three weeks before when the target audience is racing around with Holiday parties, shopping, etc. This screamed Christmas Day release, bad move by WB.

  5. They never release movies about Christmas on Christmas or even right near it cause they anticipate a Christmas bump and don’t want to suffer from a big drop off after Christmas. The studio figured the same thing for New Years Eve. BUT – sister film Valentine’s Day was about as front-loaded as it got – so they absolutely should have released NYE it closer to New Years.

    I am very happy about this.

  6. Probably the biggest giveaway NYE would be lousy is that Robert De Niro was in it – his standard and choice of work over the past 12 years or so has been depressing. You’d have to go back to Laurence Olivier for the last example of a highly-regarded and respected actor throwing away his reputation for easy money on worthless projects in the closing years of his career.

  7. De Niro finally started realizing how much money he could be making back in the early 2000’s. Probably after Analyze This hit. Then after Meet the Parents it was all over. Money time. No problem playing 3rd banana to Jason Statham if the check is big enough.

  8. Seriously, though – if Holmes doesn’t bring it next weekend box office wise – the industry will shut down.

  9. Anyway – nobody does Alda better than Peter Serafinowicz:

    Nope, that guy talks a little too fast and the voice is slightly off in pitch. And he’s missing that folksy (for lack of a better word) tone that Alda’s spoken with for years now.

    He’s very good, but Hader’s still better.

  10. Actuals are in:

    New Years’ Eve: 13 million.

    1. No
    2. No ($38,000)

    filmman

    New Year’s Eve: 39.6 million

    1. Yes
    2. I don’t know

    Rob

    New Year’s Eve! $39.1 million

    1) Yes
    2) Yes

    Jeanine

    New Year’s Eve – $35 million
    1. No (+.5)
    2. No (+.5)

    Juan

    New Year’s Eve – $34 million (my math gave me Jeanine’s exact guess, so I’ll take the under)

    1. No (+.5)
    2. No (+.5)

    Marco Trevisiol

    New Year’s Eve $30.2m
    1. No (+.5)
    2. No (+.5)

    Nick

    New Year’s Eve – 27 million
    1. No (+.5)
    2. No (+.5)

    Jackrabbit Slim

    New Year’s Eve: 22.5 million (+2)

    1. No (+.5)
    2. No (+.5)

    James

    NYE – 19m (+4)
    YES
    YES

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