AGEBOC IX – Week Nine

Standard


Predict the grosses of the films opening the weekend of June 30th-July 2nd, 2017

The one who predicts closest to the total Friday to Sunday gross for the #1 film wins 4 points. Runner-up gains 2 points. Predicting within half a million on the first question each week earns 2 bonus points.

 

Deadline is Friday, June 30th at 12:00 pm (EST)

  1. What will Despicable Me 3 earn this weekend?
  2. What will The House earn this weekend?
  3. What will Baby Driver earn this weekend?

 

Current rankings:

Filmman – 12

Jackrabbit Slim – 34

James – 14

Joe – 20

Juan – 28

Marco – 18

Rob – 8

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21 responses »

  1. It’s like Wright wanted to give people a reason not to see Baby Driver with that title.

  2. Totally agreed. The only good thing you can say about it is that it isn’t the worst title of upcoming releases; who on earth thought calling a romantic comedy ‘The Big Sick’ was a good idea?

  3. I’m seeing Baby Driver first thing tomorrow but I’ve found the marketing completely off putting. That last self congratulatory trailer was particularly annoying.

  4. Despicable Me 3 – $85 million
    The House – $15 million
    Baby Driver – $14.5 million

  5. Interesting to read the latest Will Ferrell film is doing well below expectations. I get the sense that the reservoir of goodwill the public has towards him has run out due to a series of underwhelming comedies in recent years.

  6. I think the previews and ads just didn’t click with audiences, and then the film got awful reviews. It’s also rated R. Daddy’s Home got great audience reactions from its previews and was rated PG-13, and that was plenty to overcome the shitty reviews – it made $150 million domestic.

  7. Daddy’s Home 2 will probably fall from the last one as well. Netflix should try and snag him for one of those Adam Sandler deals.

  8. I don’t doubt there will be a slip from the original, but I don’t see it bombing. Wahlberg is a bigger draw than Poehler, and it offers something for dads to take their kids to over the holidays.

  9. Indeed. The real problem with all those flop comedies this year is that none of them were any good. All of them were considered duds critically and while it’s not a perfect barometer, that none of these films averaged a 6 on IMDB suggests the public don’t care for them either.

    Sure, there are marketing and tired idea issues involved, especially with films like Chips & Rough Night. But using excuses like “the general landscape has changed” is a pretty lazy excuse for poor-quality films.

  10. Coincidentally, I’ll probably go and see ‘The House’ tonight, mainly because I haven’t been to the cinema in a while and I usually like Ferrell’s work; surely there must be some laughs in it.

  11. I do think that trends change with the times, and often very quickly. Sometimes people want something off the wall, other times they want something they can relate to. Things go in and out of style. One year people are on a raucous R-rated comedy kick and the next year they’re no longer hungry for it. So Horrible Bosses hits and Horrible Bosses 2 misses despite not being all that much worse.

    BTW, although I haven’t seen The House, I almost want to caution you against it. I’m a big Ferrell fan and even I’m staying away. It sounds like he and Poehler just flail away trying to get something to stick with a script that just isn’t there.

  12. Well, I saw ‘The House’ last night and it’s pretty much what you suspected it to be, a total misfire.

    Helped by a short running time, it was rarely boring (although the action finale was tedious); but the film is so slipshod, with such cartoonish characters and illogical events (and lots of violence) that it was never engaging; even in a farcical, non-realistic comedy like this you need some level of belief in it, and this has none.

    But its worst crime is that it isn’t funny. It’s basically Ferrell/Poehler and the rest of the cast doing random comedy bits and only a handful of moments come off. Ferrell should be doing better stuff than this although I don’t think Poehler can; she’s obviously got comic talent but she’s never been capable of doing a remotely three-dimensonial characterisation and always falls back on comic schtick in the films I’ve seen her in.

    Obviously this film had issues during production as it’s the first film I’ve seen where the blooper reel at the end of the film and the trailer I saw contain scenes that aren’t in the actual film.

  13. It’s funny – I heard an interview with the director / co-writer and he talked about how they always do a draft sans jokes to make sure the story works, confident they can put great jokes in later. Sounds like they failed.

  14. Despicable Me 3 Uni. $72,434,025
    Marco +4, Juan +2

    Baby Driver Sony $20,553,320
    Jackrabbit Slim +6?, James +2?

    The House WB (NL) $8,724,795
    Jackrabbit Slim +4?, Marco +2?

    I’m having trouble because I’m not 100% sure on the scoring system. In the past everything outside of the first question would garner 1pt only. But since they’re box office questions I don’t know if the same +4/+2 rule applies.

    At any rate, kudos to Slim for being with $53k of the #2 movie!

  15. Yes, the +4, +2 rule applies until otherwise specified.

    HOWEVER, the +2 bonus for being within 250k is for the #1 film only (Joe and I debated this a few weeks ago). So while Slim’s guess on Baby Driver is amazing, it’s +4.

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